What
is terrifying that the British electorate were kept in the dark with
successive governments all concealing the inevitable consequences of
pursuing the same old policies. It is even more scandalous that Queen
Elizabeth, and the rest of her family, allowed such a dreadful situation
to endure, in the knowledge that the ordinary people were and are paying
for such irresponsible government, with their pensions and savings,
making financial slaves of young families struggling to survive, and fat
landlords, fatter.
It's a bit like a Carry-On film:
Regardless. In a modern age, one might ask what
do the Royal Family bring to the table? Queen
Elizabeth may have taken us through the war years, but her uncle Edward VIII was a Nazi
sympathizer, something she did her best to cover up rather speedily. But for more years than we'd care to mention, politicians
have been financially raping the electorate. It appears with the Royal blessing.
Because of course, they've done nothing to stop it.
For
starters, UK law is based on a made up religion. Meaning that all UK
statute is based on the premise of divinity of the Church of England, in
a multi-faith society.
But, Henry VIII made that one up, because he did not like Catholic
rules. He wanted a divorce from Catherine
of Aragon, to quench his bedtime lusts. The Vatican
would not agree to that.
Now what about the years of corruption in the United Kingdom. Firstly,
we need to look at what qualifies as corruption. Would you agree that
policies that feed cash to a select few companies, at the expense of the
nation's health and well-being, might be considered corruption. Or at
the very least political vandalism.
Would
you agree that fraud in the planning arena, should be investigated. Not
covered up. Enter the Right to an Effective Remedy, taken away by the
introduction of the Human
Right Act 1998. That's right, it was specifically not included. With
the approval of the Lords Spiritual & Temporal. (The made up Church)
You
might also ask how it is that year on year, the Head of State, has
allowed British politicians to rack up debts that they have little
chance of repaying. For years the same old policies have led to a budget
deficit, and more borrowing. Most recently in the incompetent hands of
the Conservatives, who should be re-branded the Financial Liberals, or
Upper Class Spendthrifts. Whose only solution - would you believe - is to borrow more
money, to pay off the debt they could not repay beforehand. It's Alice
in Wonderland stuff.
The
trouble with inherited wealth, is those coming into all that lovely
cash, palaces, lands, etc., did not have to earn it. So do not understand how
important it is to balance the books. They merely have to squabble over
it. In days gone by they would kill for it.
More,
it is a question of we are alright Jack, and milk it until the system
collapses. Those inheriting wealth actually believe they are entitled to
it, without lifting a finger. So long as they tow the party line, and
keep quiet about the incompetence's. The
likes of Harry and Meghan, thinking Royals, who have the moral fibre to
challenge the institution, that perpetuates a class system built on
slavery, was too much to bear. Every time the Palace/Firm looked at Meghan,
they were reminded of the British Empire and Slave Trade in the
Colonies. You can see it is their faces, seating and standing positions.
The brave couple have it down as unconscious bias. But questions as to
Archie's skin colour were not investigated.
BANKRUPTCY
DEFINITION
When
an organisation is unable to honour its financial obligations or make
payment to its creditors, it files for bankruptcy. A petition is filed
in the court for the same where all the outstanding debts of the company
are measured and paid out if not in full from the company's assets. A
Chapter 7 bankruptcy can stay on a credit report for up to 10 years from
the date the bankruptcy was filed, while a Chapter 13 bankruptcy will
fall off a report seven years after the filing date. After the allotted
seven or 10 years, the bankruptcy will automatically fall off your
credit report.
Obviously, those responsible for creating the bankruptcy, must not be
allowed back into office for at least seven, but more like ten years.
And if found guilty of procurement fraud, should be banned for life from
any political position of trust, involving public funds. The
alternative, is constant monitoring of any politician's assets and
accounts, using anti money laundering computer algorithms. Corrupt
politicians should be treated as social terrorists.
And
totally independent policing, not involving local constabularies, who
are themselves corrupt in many cases. Such as is demonstrable with Sussex
police refusing to investigate planning frauds within Wealden
District Council (WC). Worse still, providing blank police headed
paper to WC, for them to write their own letter of exoneration, having
failed to interview any of the informants, to take their evidence. This
case is ongoing, not investigated from a Petition
presented in 1997. With no statute of limitations on fraud and
conspiracy to pervert the course of justice. Historic crimes no longer
fade away. Historic sex crime investigations sometimes go back 30-40
years - in the public interest. With irresponsible borrowing now up to
£2.46 trillion pounds, the sums expended on cover-ups, brings such lack
of transparency and accountability into stark relief. Especially, where
there is still a cost to the cover-up. In other words that fraud is
still live.
HOW
WOULD BRITAIN DECLARE SOVEREIGN INSOLVENCY
In
the case of a Country declaring itself insolvent, in a
paper/printed/digital currency situation, the Peak Debt, the threshold
for debt service as a percentage of income, must not be surpassed. If it
is, then the country owes it to all creditors to tell them it cannot
honour its financial obligations.
TERMINAL
INSOLVENCY TRAJECTORY - ARMAGEDDON
Peak
debt is a threshold for debt service as a percentage of income that,
once surpassed, makes it impossible for the debtor to be able to use new
debt to invest for growth that will allow for income growth in excess of
debt-service growth. That Nation enters a Red
Growth period, as opposed to Blue
Growth.
Once that threshold has been exceeded, the debtor is on a terminal
insolvency trajectory. The debtor may continue to issue new debt to
continue to service the old debt and to pay for other expenses as long
as creditors allow, but eventually default will have to occur.
The reason debtors are allowed to continue to borrow even after they are
terminally insolvent and default is inevitable is principally a
reflection of asymmetrical information access. Debtors know before
creditors when they have exceeded the solvency threshold.
This applies to all borrowers.
The pervasive memes in the financial sector are that currency-issuing
governments cannot become insolvent simply because they
"issue" their own currency, and central banks rebate interest
income to their respective government treasuries.
The general meme is that because they can always "issue" new
currency to pay the interest on debts denominated in their currency,
they can always have the funds to pay the interest and thus can never
become insolvent.
This is simply false given the way currencies enter economies, which is
the same globally.
Although central banks electronically create currency at no cost, that
currency has no value until it enters the economy. Currency enters an
economy in swap for existing assets, normally in return for sovereign
debt held by the private member banks of the central bank.
That means the currency has been loaned into the economy, not printed
into the economy. If it were printed into circulation, it would enter as
a "credit" rather than as a debt.
There is nothing that prevents sovereign governments from issuing
currency as a credit, rather than as a debt, but that's not the way the
global monetary system works now, and hasn't since every country has
converted to central banks lending money into circulation over the past
100 or so years.
The ability to borrow money into existence was restricted by the World
War II-era Bretton Woods monetary system, but that largely ended
when the U.S. dollar's convertibility into gold
was terminated by President Nixon in 1971.
In order for a currency-issuing country to avoid insolvency, the
currency entering the economy in swap for sovereign debt must cause
economic activity, and tax receipts as a result, to be greater than the
cost of servicing the sovereign debt over a long period of time.
If that occurs, the currency will maintain its value. If it does not and
the currency-issuing economy exceeds the solvency threshold, which is
the point at which more than 25% of tax receipts are required to service
existing debt, the country becomes terminally insolvent.
Once the threshold is exceeded, no changes of any kind can reverse the
terminal insolvency trajectory. Changing taxing schemes, deregulation
and increases or decreases in government spending are rendered
mathematically inoperative as mechanisms for creating economic growth,
and thus tax receipts that exceed debt service requirements.
As
we understand it, Japan is headed down this road, with the US not far
behind. That leaves the UK next in line, as a result of present policy
inadequacy.
There
may be a link between the explosion of billionaire wealth, and policies
that keep on issuing currency credits. It is all false and unsupported
credit, that allows market manipulation with relatively few checks and
balances. Because, countries in difficulty do not want checks and
balances against their own ineptitude.
DECLARING
(OR SEEKING) A MORATORIUM - A BREATHING SPACE
A
moratorium period defines a delay in an activity when an unforeseen
situation arises. Such a period remains in force until the conditions
return to normal times. For example, in bankruptcy law, a loan
moratorium allows debtors to suspend the legal obligation of repayment
of loans.
Over a moratorium period, a borrower is not required to make a payment
over the period. In addition to the distinct difference as outlined
above, a moratorium period length can range from weeks to months,
whereas a grace period length for small scale debt is usually 15 days.
A temporary suspension of an activity or law is effective until future
consideration warrants lifting the suspension, such as if and when the
issues that led to moratorium have been resolved. A moratorium may be
imposed by a government, by regulators, or by a business.
Moratoriums are often imposed in response to temporary financial
hardships. For example, a business that has exceeded its budget might
place a moratorium on new hiring until the start of its next fiscal
year. In legal proceedings, a moratorium can be imposed on an activity
such as a debt collection process during bankruptcy proceedings.
As an example, in 2016, the governor of Puerto Rico issued an order to
limit the withdrawal of funds from the Government Development Bank. This
emergency moratorium established a hold on withdrawals that were not
related to bank principal or interest payments in order to reduce risks
to the bank's liquidity.
On the voluntary side, insurance companies will sometimes issue
moratoriums on writing new policies for properties located in specific
areas during the course of a natural disaster. Such moratoriums can
help mitigate losses when the probability of filed claims is abnormally
high. For example, in February 2011, MetLife issued a moratorium on
writing new policies in many Texas counties due to an unusual outbreak
of wildfires.
COVID
19 & LOWER INCOME ECONOMIES (LIEs)
LIEs have different alternatives to organise a debt moratorium on their
external obligations. An optimal mechanism to deliver financial relief
would be a multilateral framework for a comprehensive debt moratorium
and relief, organised by the United
Nations (UN). A multilateral approach would ensure that the measures
adopted are comprehensive and provide special and differentiated
treatment to small and vulnerable countries.
However,
in a scenario of multilateral inertia where debt relief is used as a
tool for the introduction of condition-alities and structural
adjustment, countries experiencing a humanitarian emergency caused by
Covid-19 could declare a sovereign unilateral debt moratorium. The human
rights imperative to protect lives at risk would provide all the
justification necessary for the adoption of this approach.
From a financial perspective, there are at least three complementary
options, depending on the types of external debt covered by the
moratorium:
1. A debt moratorium on IMF and World Bank payments: The most
immediate alternative is for debtors to coordinate a moratorium on
payments to the IMF and World Bank for the concepts of principal
repayments, interest and charges. This procedure would require a
majority vote of the Board of Directors of both organizations. Given the
circumstances, the IMF and World Bank can take the initiative and
accelerate the declaration of a broader moratorium covering other
creditors. A moratorium for 2020 would free up to US$ 3.8 billion
without any type of policy condition-alities. An extension until 2021
would release an additional US$ 4.8 billion, for a total of US$ 8.6
billion.
2.
A debt moratorium on external official creditors: A broader debt
moratorium covering all official external creditors of the public sector
in LIEs could free up a total of US$ 19.5 billion in 2020. An
extension until 2021 would release an additional US$ 18.7 billion, for a
total of US$ 38.2 billion. Countries currently assessed to be at low and
moderate risks of debt distress would be the main beneficiaries. A key
element to achieve an immediate moratorium is the coordination amongst
bilateral creditors, mainly Paris Club members and China, in order to
avoid a situation where resources freed up end up potentially being used
to pay other creditors. However, even without a multilateral agreement,
debtor countries in a situation of humanitarian emergency can address
creditor coordination failures and promote a wider agreement on the
issue by adopting a sovereign unilateral debt moratorium.
3. A debt moratorium on external private creditors: The
moratorium could be expanded to cover private external creditors to the
public sector. A policy designed for 2020 could release up to US$
5.9 billion in additional resources previously tied to debt service.
Extension into 2021 would add US$ 6.2 billion for a total of US$ 12.1
billion. Countries currently assessed to be at high risk of debt
distress would be the main beneficiaries. A multilateral framework
for a debt moratorium, coordinated under the auspices of UN, could
request the US, UK and the EU for the introduction of a temporary stay
on sovereign debt litigation in order to protect vulnerable countries
from vulture funds aiming to profit from the crisis
After the COVID
19 crisis, countries may consider a shift to a new paradigm where
debt sustainability is assessed with respect to the financing needs of
Agenda 2030. Enough debt relief must be granted to allow countries to
fund their national programs to achieve the SDGs. Until then, we need to
remind ourselves that no-one is safe until everyone is safe.
On October 4, 2022, the LA city council voted to wind down the eviction
moratorium that had been in place since March 2020, making it one of the
longest COVID tenant protections in the country. Non-payment of rent
cases will be allowed to resume in February 2023.
THE
NITTY-GRITTY
The
fallout from the economic crisis of 2008 was not limited to troubled
homeowners, mortgage lenders, and major financial institutions. The
crisis spread further, leaving entire nations facing financial ruin. A
national insolvency is not a simple matter of a country going to court
and filing for bankruptcy. Rather, a nation going bankrupt triggers
serious economic consequences at home and abroad, often requiring rescue
from foreign investors or global institutions such as the International
Monetary Fund.
The German newspaper "Spiegel" reported on the issue of
national bankruptcies in 2008, after the island nation of Iceland neared
insolvency. When a country can no longer pay the interest on its debt or
convince anyone to lend it money, it has reached bankruptcy. Possible
causes of a country’s bankruptcy can include war or financial
mismanagement by the government, the newspaper reported.
An entire nation becoming financially insolvent is not a new phenomenon.
"Spiegel" reported in a 2008 article that Germany went
bankrupt twice in the 20th century: once in 1923 after World War I and
again after the end of World
War II in 1945. Since then, the newspaper reported, Russia has gone
bankrupt in 1998, followed by Argentina in 2001. In 2008 Iceland became
the first country to fall victim to the financial crunch that resulted
after the collapse of the U.S. housing market. "Spiegel"
reported that other countries, including the Ukraine and Pakistan, face
financial ruin as well.
When a nation becomes bankrupt and defaults on its loans, central banks
may try to attract additional foreign investors by raising the interest
rates on the country’s bonds. "Spiegel" reported that
Iceland’s central bank raised its prime rate to 18 percent in 2008
while Venezuela offered 20 percent interest in hopes of selling its
bonds. Such large hikes in interest rates negatively impact the credit
ratings of the countries themselves, which "Spiegel" said
often results in lenders writing off the loans the countries can no
longer repay. [If that is the UK's plan, it is
fraud. On present form, allegedly, quite likely a hidden agenda, that
would explain borrowing on borrowing. Because, they don't care. They
want to reach a bankrupt condition to be able to say; "How about
writing off our debts."]
When a country reaches bankruptcy, massive inflation is the likely
outcome for the country’s consumers and businesses. Stock prices often
plummet, along with the value of the nation’s currency. As the value
of money falls, bank runs may result as panicked citizens rush to
withdraw cash from their accounts. This occurred in Argentina in 2001
after the government there froze bank accounts, limiting the amount of
money people could withdraw. "Spiegel" said many desperate
Argentines even slept in front of ATMs, hoping to withdraw what cash
they could.
In some cases, social and political unrest can result if a nation goes
bankrupt. In Argentina, angry residents rioted and looted supermarkets
in the wake of the country’s 2001 insolvency. In Iceland, the head of
the country’s central bank was forced to resign after that country’s
crisis, which cost thousands of Icelanders their jobs and life savings,
according to a 2009 report by "The Times of London."
To avert bankruptcy or to cope with its effects, insolvent governments
often look abroad for a bailout. Nations in the most dire straits seek
emergency loans from the International Monetary Fund (IMF). Recipients
of IMF assistance have included Hungary and the Ukraine. IMF assistance,
however, comes with strings attached. In exchange for IMF help,
"Spiegel" reported, the Ukraine was forced to freeze social
spending, privatize some government services, and increase natural gas
prices.
In 2009 Harvard historian Niall Ferguson predicted that a growing number
of European nations were in danger of bankruptcy. In a report by
"The Guardian" newspaper of the United Kingdom, Ferguson said
Ireland, Italy, and Belgium were in the greatest danger of bankruptcy,
with the U.K. also at risk.
THE ADVANTAGES OF INTERNATIONAL DEBT & GDP
International debt or the ability of governments and corporations to
raise money outside of their country is vital in maintaining economic
and financial liquidity. The most recent example of the advantage of
countries or governments raising money through International debt is
that of Greece during the recent Greek debt crisis. Strapped for cash,
the government’s last resort to paying interest on its external debt
and also managing the day to day running of its business was borrowing
money from other countries.
International debt or money owed by the government of one country to
that of another can be in the form of bonds, treasury securities, as in
the case of the U.S., or negative trade balance. Trade deficits mean an
excessive borrowing nation is able to achieve a higher living standard
and is able to provide domestic investment that in turn spurs future
economic growth, facilitating repayment of debt. Fostering future
economic prosperity is a positive outcome of International debt in many
cases.
So when a country is facing budget deficits or there is paucity of money
due to high debt to GDP ratio, a country can turn to international debt
and raise much-needed money. Later as it emerges from the crisis, it can
repay the interest and the principle amount in installments. In fact,
money borrowed from other countries can be invested to spur the economy
toward reviving GDP.
It is a risky strategy, dependent on the Nation in trouble, being able
to persuade entrepreneurs to rise to the challenge.
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES AND INTERNATIONAL DEBT
In many countries, International debt is needed to secure development
goals, especially by governments not able to access finance from other
sources, or those who are charged high interest rates because of their
low sovereign debt rating. Many emerging economies such as those in
Africa may not be able to attract direct foreign investment. In order to
continue investments in the economy, they can turn to bilateral debt or
institutions like the IMF and the World Bank. Trade financing is another
option that helps in trade development, a growth strategy of many
developing countries.
International trade financing helps exporting countries, especially in
reducing trade deficit by spurring exports. Rich exporting countries can
facilitate trade finance guarantees to importing countries through
export credit agencies.
International debt has advantages not just for governments but for
corporations and individuals as well. Corporations can raise
international debt in different currencies. The currency differential
doesn't just diversify risk, it helps shop for lower interest rates in a
limitless international market.
International debt has advantages for individuals as well. Diversify
your investment portfolio beyond equities. Invest in international debt
through bonds and make substantial profits. There are risks, too.
Mitigate those risks by investing in different currency bonds. For
instance, a Japanese yen bond could be bought by U.S. citizens and they
could hedge dollar risks by investing in yen bonds and earn interest in
yen. This way, you could also play off the risks of individual currency
depreciation.
Once again, this is an incredibly risky proposition, with factors beyond
control of the investor, presenting unacceptable unknowns.
SHAMEFUL
- Is this the best the UK has to offer. Even before his political
career, Boris Johnson was making up copy for newspapers. He was kind of
a Henry VIII character with his bedroom antics. He lied to the Queen and
the electorate, awarded titles to mates in return for gold wallpaper at
No. 10 (allegedly). Then lied to Parliament about parties during Covid
19 restrictions (allegedly). To cap it all, in his rush to procure
Personal Protection Equipment (PPE) another member of the House of Lords
ended up with £29
million pounds in an offshore account. It stinks. And it is against
this background of institutionalised corruption, that the Colonial
Bulldog, raised his head above the parapet, to have a target painted on
his back, by Wealden District Council and Sussex police. They did not
want their under the table dealings to be revealed. And they were
prepared to do the modern equivalent of a treason trial, before chopping
off his head - a frame up.
THE
PROS & CONS OF BORROWING MONEY FROM THE IMF
The International Monetary Fund (IMF) was founded in 1944 for the sake
of facilitating international trade. Its purpose is largely to lend
money to struggling governments that cannot pay for necessary imports.
It is financed largely by powerful banks attached to its larger members
such as Japan, the United States and Germany. The role of the IMF
remains intensely controversial.
Economy Watch, a well-known online journal, writes that the IMF serves
primarily to reduce global financial risk. The journal points to IMF
success in Poland, the Czech Republic and much of Asia. The IMF has
helped reform economies and make them into substantial successes. The
risk of letting poor countries simply fail is immoral, since this would
penalize the poor and middle classes for the sins of its elite financial
class. According to Economy Watch, governments are too irresponsible in
macroeconomic reform to be trusted with these major decisions. An
experienced, outside agency should be entrusted with the task to root
out corruption and mismanagement.
Financial writer Carolyn Lochhead, writing in the "San Francisco
Chronicle" during the 1997 Asian meltdown, holds that the IMF has
empowered mismanagement, not reformed it. She points to major IMF
failures in Pakistan, Russia, Indonesia and Thailand as proof of IMF
incompetence. What the IMF does, according to Lochhead, is bail out the
bankers and firms who have destroyed the economy in the first place.
Rather than root out this kind of incompetence, the IMF loans more money
to it.
Development economists John Cavanagh, Carol Welch and Simon Retallack
wrote in 2001 that the IMF demands structural change, in the form of
austerity policies, that creates poverty. If you want to borrow money
from the IMF, be prepared to give up national sovereignty and
independence.
[Ironic, given that Boris Johnson promised sovereign independence, but
Tory policies are driving the country into the arms of the IMF]
The IMF demands that social spending be cut, wages frozen, the public
sector slashed and unions eliminated. The result has been wealth for a
tiny elite, and dire poverty for the masses of the population. The IMF
cares only about GDP growth and stability, not the good of workers, the
poor or the middle class. IMF dictates that come with loans mean the
oversight of the economy by the IMF, which means oversight by major
bankers. It is a formula for not only poverty, but also a new form of
colonialism and domination by the rich.
PROBLEMS IN INTERNATIONAL FINANCE
According to EconomyWatch.com, international finance is a study of
economics that deals with "exchange rates and foreign investment
and their impact on international trade." In other words, it
pertains to the financial affairs of government institutions, their
investments and how this impact a currency's value on the international
market. In the wake of what seems like a tidal wave of financial crises
across the globe, it has become clear that international finance is
riddled with complex problems.
One of the key problems facing the world of international finance is the
rate at which governments are borrowing or taking out loans to keep the
government functioning. Government borrowing impacts the value of its
currency. If a government has $10 million dollars in loans, but has a
high gross domestic product, its financial health would likely be
assessed as good, as it would be able to pay the loan off with ease in a
shorter amount of time. This confidence, via complicated financial
equations, translates into a higher value for the country's currency.
On the other hand, a country with a large amount of debt that it will
not be able to repay in the near future will see its currency's value
tank. There are no limitations on government borrowing today, which puts
even super powers like the United States at risk of getting in over its
head, causing the value of its currency to sink in the global market.
When this happens, citizens relying on this currency will have to spend
more of it to buy the same things, putting massive amounts of financial
strain on a population.
[Which is why we advocate an AgriDollar, against
which private citizen will have something tangible to fall back on, when
their politicians default. The ability to trade in grain or other foods
suitable for longer term storage, to stave off stravation from any food
crisis. Or, face cannibalism.]
INTERCONNECTIVITY VS. SOVEREIGNTY
In today's financial climate, the economies of the world are
inextricably interconnected. On some fronts, this is perceived as a good
thing, as it forces, to a certain extent, a minimal level of diplomatic
interaction. However, because the ailment of one economy will inevitably
affect the rest, tensions in negotiations over international finance
have arisen in regard to global well being and sovereignty.
In the European Union, for example, the collapse of the Greek economy
caused countries like France to call for a bailout, while Germany argued
that it would not provide financial assistance to another country while
trying to keep its own afloat. While Germany eventually agreed to
provide financial backing to stabilize the debt crisis in Europe, a
conflict of priorities exists between worldwide and national interests,
and until a balance can be struck, the fate of every nation's economy
could be impacted.
[The UK made enemies of the EU in leaving the
Union (common market), who now have no obligation to bail out bozo
British politicians. Hence, Bojo
the Clown of Europe]
Sometimes, the ever-increasing total of international debt and the
potential economic insecurity it could unleash is daunting thanks to
over $250 trillion owed around the world in 2019. Leading the pack in
foreign debt examples is the United States, owing more internationally
than any other country and amounting to $67,000 of debt for every
American citizen. Policy makers and economists bicker about whether
types of external debt matter. Does it, and why does the U.S. owe so
much internationally?
US DEBT LEVELS
The amount of national debt, or the deficit, in the U.S. is over $23
trillion, up by over 15% in under three years and is expected to grow by
another $6 trillion by 2029 — and that’s just “on the books”
debt. Of that, about 30% — nearly $7 trillion — is owed to foreign
governments and is money the U.S. borrowed as operating costs,
essentially. Over a third of that debt is owed to China and Japan.
Why would foreign governments loan money to the U.S., though? In the
case of China and Japan, loaning money to the U.S. to help the
government accomplish its tasks and keep the American economy strong
keeps the American dollar strong. This sounds counterintuitive, but a
higher U.S. dollar means merchants, manufacturers and citizens in the
U.S. have buying power, which is good for Chinese and Japanese export
business. Hence, helping the U.S. economy stay strong is good for their
economies.
[Talk about inverted thinking. Why not have no
borrowing, less strain for the private citizen looking to lead a low
carbon lifestyle]
There are divided opinions on America’s debt, but they all agree that
it's good that America's debt is in its own currency. If that $1
trillion plus owed to China was issued on the yuan, a rising yuan would
significantly increase the U.S. debt, but being U.S. dollar debt means
the only thing affecting international debt is the interest
accumulating.
International debt should not affect small businesses, just like the
national deficit doesn’t — in theory. Much of the debt comes from
money owed to Americans through Social Security, armed forces payroll
and so on. However, there are other prior financial commitments not yet
due that economists say could triple the deficit to $70 trillion.
The interesting number in 2019 is the $3 trillion racked up in the past
three years because that recent debt increase is from revenue shortfalls
after reducing domestic tax rates. The Federal Reserve Chair Powell
cautioned that if debt continues to outpace the economy, it will be a
problem. If so, the quick solution by the U.S. government would be
raising domestic taxes, which would impact all businesses through taxes
owed and also through tighter public spending, and incomes may decline
under higher taxes.
For small businesses depending on imports from China or Japan, the U.S.
debt owed to the Asian nations is advantageous because in a way, holding
so much American debt creates a mutually beneficial relationship — but
it’s also an insurance policy. If either were to call in their
American debts, the American dollar's value would plunge but so would
the debt value owed to the two economic powerhouses. Even if China or
Japan merely sold their U.S. Treasury holdings to raise capital, it
would hurt the American dollar so much that any capital raised would be
at a loss. China in particular is happy to maintain the status quo, as
it has made its economy the world's strongest thanks to Chinese currency
management making its products so attractive to U.S. consumers.
THE MAIN ELEMENTS OF A FINANCIAL CRISIS
An economic downturn caused by a shock in the financial markets may
define a financial crisis. This shock is usually the collapse of an
economic bubble, which may be found anywhere from the real estate
markets and stock markets to the labor markets. Following a bubble's
collapse, the main elements and effects of a financial crisis include
bank panics, credit crunches and a recession.
The cause of an economic bubble is when the price of a group of assets
is much higher than their actual worth. Increase in pricing is a result
of an increase in purchases for that given asset. It is known as a
"bubble," as it is generally thought that it will
"pop" once the markets receive some kind of economic shock. An
example of this includes the sub-prime mortgage crisis of 2006 when the
price of housing was relatively high with respect to its value. When
people defaulted on their mortgages, prices crashed due to the large
increase in selling. Other bubbles in history include the dot.com bubble
in the 1990s due to the over-investment in dot.com stocks. When these
companies began posting losses, their stock crashed.
Negative economic growth generally defines a recession. A financial
crisis is one factor that may cause a recession, primarily by means of a
fall in investment. A fall in investment may also lead to a fall in
employment, as new investments require new employees. Falls in
employment lead to a fall in consumer expenditure. This has a negative
effect on the economy, as consumer expenditure is usually the largest
contributor to economic growth. A fall in consumer expenditure dents
company profits, which leads to further unemployment and a fall in stock
prices. Although the cause of many recessions is a financial crisis,
note that not all financial crises lead to a recession.
THE
DANGER OF INFLATION
Expansionary policy carries some risks. When the money supply expands,
prices tend to rise and currency loses its value. This happened in a big
way during the 1920s in Germany and other European countries. Facing a
crushing burden of World
War I debts and reparations due by treaty to Great Britain and
France, Germany began printing money to pay its bills. Expansion turned
to hyperinflation, as the German currency lost all value and the price
of a simple cup of coffee reached millions of German marks. The savings
of German citizens were wiped out, and only people holding hard assets
such as gold had a hope of financial survival. This traumatic experience
still affects the country: Although it has the largest economy in
Europe, Germany favors restrictive monetary policy, and its central bank
aims to slow the rate of inflation by any means necessary.
Lady
Mone is alleged to have lobbied ministers to place contracts with firms,
presumably those making (in effect) garments to cover mouths and noses.
In other words, commercial contacts she may have met or made during her
career as the women's underwear queen. In which case, and if that proves
to be the case, she should have declared a conflict of interest, and
stood aside. The fact a large sum of cash appears to have flowed into
one of her bank accounts, obviously, needs to be forensically
investigated. It could all just be an unfortunate set of coincidences.
MEASURING
ECONOMIC STABILITY
Firstly, if there were no international borrowing, all those
non-productive workers earning large sums from lending and debts, would
cease to be a burden on the ordinary citizen. Also reducing the carbon
footprint of the nations who managed their economy so well, they did not
need to borrow. This is called a Circular
Economy. Oh joy!
We bet that almost every country in the world, wished they were in this
condition. A balance of what the country can produce without harming
nature, against what its population needed to live comfortably. Again;
oh joy!
Economic stability means the economy of a region or country shows no
wide fluctuations in key measures of economic performance, such as gross
domestic product, unemployment or inflation. Rather, stable economies
demonstrate modest growth in GDP and jobs while holding inflation to a
minimum. Government economic policies strive for stable economic growth
and prices, while economists rely on multiple measures for gauging the
amount of stability.
A modern, national economy is too complex to summarize in a single
measure, but many economists rely on GDP as a summary of economic
activity. Changes in the GDP over time provide a measure of stability.
The GDP measures the total output of a nation’s economy in
inflation-adjusted monetary terms.
Other measures of economic stability include consumer prices and the
national unemployment rate. Government agencies collect monthly and
quarterly data on economic activity, enabling policy makers and
economists to monitor economic conditions and respond in unstable times.
A modern, national economy is too complex to summarize in a single
measure, but many economists rely on GDP as a summary of economic
activity. Changes in the GDP over time provide a measure of stability.
The GDP measures the total output of a nation’s economy in
inflation-adjusted monetary terms.
Other measures of economic stability include consumer prices and the
national unemployment rate. Government agencies collect monthly and
quarterly data on economic activity, enabling policy makers and
economists to monitor economic conditions and respond in unstable times.
WHAT IS THE VALUE OF A CURRENCY ?
Currencies were once assessed by the gold standard, which compared
currencies to the U.S. dollar and then to the value of gold. However,
this was abandoned after WWI.
The current method of assessing currency values is based on the floating
currency exchange rate, which is a more efficient way of valuing
currency from one country to another, even though currency values
fluctuate from day to day.
ECONOMIC TWIN DEFICITS
A twin deficit occurs when a nation's government has both a trade
deficit and a budget deficit. A trade deficit, also known as a current
account deficit, happens when a nation imports more than it exports,
buying more from other countries and foreign companies than it sells to
them. A budget deficit occurs when a nation spends more on goods and
services than it makes through taxes and other financial gains.
There are many factors that can cause a nation to incur a twin deficit.
As with the U.S. in the early 1980s and early 2000s, a twin deficit can
come into effect if government tax rates are reduced without
corresponding cuts in government spending. When this occurs, a
government will have a budget deficit due to the negative difference in
government income and spending. This can lead to a twin deficit as a
government will then borrow money from other nations, which leads to a
trade deficit.
Prior to 1930, America enjoyed budget surpluses most years. However,
after 1930 government spending began to outstrip income. [After
that the brakes came off, as paper money was printed in excess of
natures ability to provide sustainably. The slippery road to insolvency
of planet
earth began.]
IS IT SAFE?
The only truly safe investment against corrupt politicians and
international aggression, is gold and gemstones, in rapidly
transportable, or otherwise protected storage, or other safe haven. Pirates
of old knew this, giving rise to treasure maps and buried chests: safe
banking.
It
appears from the latest moves by the King, that he may not be either fit
enough, or have the spare mental capacity to deal with a complex range
of legal matters. Whereas, his mother, Queen Elizabeth is known to dealt
with numerous complex matters herself, although shying away from helping
to resolve corruption at Wealden District
Council. Hence, even she was
thought to have been lacking when it came to issues that showed the
State to be wanting.
Corruption
lurks in every corridor of local and national buildings. Queen Elizabeth
was asked for help. She declined. The duty to provide an effective
remedy, now rests with King
Charles.
Incompatibility
in Human Rights terms, is where one statute does not comply with HR
statute. The European Convention does include Article 13, the right to
an effective remedy.
WHISTLEBLOWER
'The
Colonial Bulldog' didn't have a clue when he moved into
a rural location in 1981 controlled by a Conservative council and a
corrupt police force. Sussex was named in Hansard, as
the most corrupt police force, after investigation by Hampshire and Kent
Constabularies, on the murder of the unarmed, James Ashley, during an
armed raid (based on fabricated evidence) in the early hours of the
morning in 1998. In 1998 the same council that fabricated evidence
leading to that armed raid in Hastings when James Ashley was gunned down
in cold blood, had asked Sussex police for help in dealing with the
Colonial Bulldog. Alleging firearms were kept on the premises. Which was
of course another lie.